h+ magazine has an article titled, How Long Till Human-Level AI? The article was written by long-time AGI researcher Ben Goertzel with Seth Baum and Ted Goertzel.
The majority of the experts who participated in our study were optimistic about AGI coming fairly quickly, although a few were more pessimistic about the timing. It is worth noting, however, that all the experts in our study, even the most pessimistic ones, gave at least a 10% chance of some AGI milestones being achieved within a few decades.
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